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John Rentoul

John Rentoul is chief political commentator for The Independent on Sunday, and visiting fellow at Queen Mary, University of London, where he teaches contemporary history. Previously he was chief leader writer for The Independent. He has written a biography of Tony Blair, whom he admired more at the end of his time in office than he did at the beginning.

You can contact John in the comments area or email him at j.rentoul@independent.co.uk

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The case against the 50p tax

Posted by John Rentoul
  • Tuesday, 28 April 2009 at 11:41 am
Stephen Byers, the former Cabinet minister and NLO (New Labour Outrider), made the most damaging argument against the 50p income tax rate in the Budget debate yesterday.

When one looks at the fact that it [the 50p tax rate] is being brought forward to April 2010, probably just a few weeks away from a general election, and when one considers that it targets a very small number of taxpayers, the only sensible conclusion to draw is that the 50p-rate proposal has more to do with political positioning and tactical manoeuvring than a principled, strategic approach to taxation and the raising of revenue.

Some people have said that the political motive behind the proposal was to provide an elephant trap for the Conservative Opposition to fall into, but the trap is so large and well-signposted that even the most myopic old tusker would have little difficulty avoiding it. There are many ways of describing the Leader of the Opposition, but a short-sighted elephant is not one of them, so for understandable political reasons, the trap has been avoided by the Conservative Party. I think that many people in the Conservative party will be very disappointed that the 50p rate is, I understand, not to be opposed by the Conservative Party, but I believe that it should be opposed, because in the long run it will be damaging for both the Labour Party and the economy.

First, and perhaps most importantly, the measure breaks a key manifesto pledge made by the Labour Party not to increase the top rate of tax ... For many years to come, the Labour Party will regret that a manifesto pledge on tax was broken in such a way, and broken literally a few weeks before a general election. If the 50p tax rate is so important, why not bring it in during July next year—three months later? We would then have honoured the pledge that we made in 2005. However, we are not doing that. We are introducing the 50p rate in such a way for, I believe, cynical political reasons, and that simply will not work in our interests.

Against that argument, Alastair Campbell's brave and loyal attempt to defend the policy in his blog this morning fails:

We, even more than the Tories, are the ones who should be pointing out that it is a breach of a manifesto commitment, making clear we did not want to go against the manifesto, and that we understand how serious that is. Politicians, contrary to what some may think of them, do not like to break promises. Also, the maintenance of Labour's promises on income tax has been a very important part of our success, politically and economically. The fact of the new top tax rate is therefore evidence of how serious the economic situation is.

Yes, taxes will have to go up, and a symbolic tax on the better off that will not raise much money may be an important part of that. But why in April next year, just before a likely election in May (that has to be held by 3 June), rather than in July, just after? 

Comments

[info]matgb wrote:
Tuesday, 28 April 2009 at 12:31 pm (UTC)
Um, because the tax year goes from April to April? I'm assuming neither you nor Byers have ever actually completed your own tax return, it's the only way such a daft proposal could even be considered.
It's perfectly possible
[info]j_rentoul wrote:
Tuesday, 28 April 2009 at 01:46 pm (UTC)
to change even income-tax rates in the middle of a tax year. Geoffrey Howe did it in June 1979, for example, cutting the basic rate from 33 to 30 per cent and the top rate from 83 per cent to 60 per cent.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/politics97/budget97/background/bud1979_92.shtml
Re: It's perfectly possible
[info]matgb wrote:
Tuesday, 28 April 2009 at 01:55 pm (UTC)
Yes, he cut taxes immediately after coming into office (and doubled VAT but that's not relevent). Even then, it caused havoc and misreporting of returns, etc, but that was considered OK because the new Govt didn't want to actually raise that money anyway.

But to increase taxes in that way? Especially with automated systems based around a fixed tax year?

Possible to do, but only expedient if there's no choice at all and a clear reason to do it, neither applies in this case.
[info]hexish wrote:
Tuesday, 28 April 2009 at 05:02 pm (UTC)
I'm not sure anyone really cares that much about this "breaking of a manifesto pledge" do they? Most people understand that we are in exceptional economic times and, although the 50% tax may have little impact on revenues, most ordinary people support the idea that the ultra-wealthy should contribute a little more. After all, they have so much more room for manoeuvre with their finances.

What I would like to see is a more detailed analysis of is this idea that we can't risking upsetting these people as they are the "wealth creators" and we don't want to force them to leave. People throw this concept around as it doesn't need any justification, as if it stands to reason. I'm not sure it does.

Do these people really "create" that much wealth? Are they so unique and precious that we have to do everything in our power to keep them on our shores? I don't buy it.
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